PapersCollectionsBlog

Blog

The research, expanded into plain-English essays: what each paper found, how they found it, and what to actually do about it. Still one tap from the source, always linked.

6 posts · written by Nick · updated 2026-10-21

2026-10-21 #spending #credit #meta-analysis

The pay-in-4 file: five studies, one pattern

Five studies across three countries and five designs mostly agree: the checkout button lifts spending, the fees are real, and the harm lives in the stacking. A narrative meta-synthesis.

2026-10-21 #behavioral-finance #investing

Your portfolio can tell when you're tired

Later sunsets cost retail traders 29 to 64 basis points a month. The mechanism looks like sleep, and the specific failure is missing earnings news.

2026-10-21 #behavioral-finance #investing

Even the pros sell worse than a coin flip

783 professional portfolios: buys beat random picks by 100 bps a year, sells lost to random selling by 80. Selling is a different skill, and salience picks the victims.

2026-10-21 #financial-literacy #psychology

Three questions most people can't answer

Fewer than 30% pass the Big Three finance quiz, and people got the inflation question wrong during an actual inflation spike.

2026-10-21 #spending #credit

Pay in 4 is a spending button, not a payment method

Checkout installments raise total spending about $130 on impact and $60 a week permanently, plus overdraft spillovers. It's engineered spending.

2026-10-21 #financial-literacy #behavioral-finance

Doing money beats knowing money

In 412 lower-income households, behaviour predicted well-being twice as strongly as literacy, and literacy didn't change behaviour at all.